(Reuters) – U.S. power consumption will rise to record highs in 2024 and 2025, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said in its Short Term Energy Outlook (STEO) on Tuesday.
EIA projected power demand will rise to 4,112 billion kilowatt-hours (kWh) in 2024 and 4,123 billion kWh in 2025.
That compares with 3,994 billion kWh in 2023 and a record 4,070 billion kWh in 2022.
As homes and businesses use more electricity instead of fossil fuels for heat and transportation, EIA forecast 2024 power sales would rise to 1,530 billion kWh for residential consumers, 1,396 billion kWh for commercial customers and 1,035 billion kWh for industrial customers.
That compares with all-time highs of 1,509 billion kWh for residential consumers in 2022, 1,391 billion kWh in 2022 for commercial customers and 1,064 billion kWh in 2000 for industrial customers.
EIA said natural gas’ share of power generation would hold at 42% in 2024, the same as 2023, before easing to 41% in 2025. Coal’s share will drop from 17% in 2023 to 15% in 2024 and 14% in 2025 as renewable output rises.
The percentage of renewable generation will rise from 22% in2023 to 24% in 2024 and 26% in 2025, while nuclear power’s sharewill hold at 19% in 2023, 2024 and 2025.
EIA projected 2024 gas sales would rise to 12.94 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) for residential consumers, 9.44 bcfd for commercial customers and 36.07 bcfd for power generation, but slide to 23.13 bcfd for industrial customers.
That compares with all-time highs of 14.32 bcfd in 1996 for residential consumers, 9.63 bcfd in 2019 for commercial customers, 23.80 bcfd in 1973 for industrial customers and 35.36 bcfd in 2023 for power generation.
(Reporting by Scott DiSavino; Editing by Alexander Smith)